Method Scenario planning
Management Uncertainty framing
Process Qualitative
Description Considers decision options against pre-defined future scenarios without attempting to assess scenario probability.
Long Description (From ChatGPT) Scenario planning is a structured approach to long-term planning that constructs a set of plausible, contrasting future scenarios based on key drivers of change and uncertainties, enabling organizations or policymakers to identify robust strategies, anticipate risks, and make flexible, informed decisions. Key features Explores multiple futures: Not a prediction, but a tool to envision alternatives. Focuses on uncertainties: Identifies critical uncertainties that could shape outcomes. Supports robust decision-making: Helps design strategies that perform well across different scenarios. Stimulates strategic thinking: Encourages creativity and challenges assumptions. Iterative process: Scenarios are updated as conditions, knowledge, or objectives change.
Enabled True
Links (Shavazipour & Stewart, 2021)
(Amer et al., 2013)
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