| Method | Backcasting | |
| Management | Uncertainty framing | |
| Process | Qualitative | |
| Description | Starts with defining a desirable future outcome and works backward to identify the necessary steps to achieve that outcome | |
| Long Description | (From ChatGPT) Backcasting is a strategic planning method that begins by defining a desirable future state and then works backward to identify the actions, policies, and steps needed to achieve that future from the present. Unlike forecasting—which projects current trends forward—backcasting starts with the end goal and asks: “What must happen between now and then to make this future possible?” Key features of backcasting Future-oriented: Starts with a vision, target, or scenario (e.g., a carbon-neutral city by 2050). Strategic and normative: Focuses on what should happen, not what is most likely to occur. Works well under uncertainty: Helps organizations plan when long-term change is complex or unpredictable. | |
| Enabled | True | |
| Links |
(Vergragt & Quist, 2011)
(Holmberg & Robert, 2011) |
|
| Criticality: | ||
| 0% | ||
| 0% | ||
| 50% | ||
| 0% | ||
| 75% | ||